(Feb 11): Asian stocks gained on Wednesday in the run-up to the US jobs data after weak retail sales reinforced bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates later this year.
The MSCI Asia-Pacific Index rose 0.5% to an all-time high, widening its year-to-date outperformance versus European and US equities. South Korea, the world’s best-performing market this year, advanced 0.6%.
Treasury futures held their gains on Wednesday after 10-year bond yields dropped to the lowest in about a month in the US session. There will be no cash trading in Treasuries during the Asian day as Japan is closed for a holiday. Gold, which typically benefits when rates are cut, rose 0.5% as money markets see slightly higher odds of three Fed cuts this year — with two already fully priced in.
Unexpectedly weak December retail sales pointed to softer consumer momentum as the year ended, reinforcing expectations the Fed may cut rates later this year. Attention now turns to the jobs report and Friday’s inflation data for further signals on the policy outlook, even as equities waver on concerns over heavy artificial intelligence (AI) spending by technology firms.
The jobs report “will be key”, said Bret Kenwell at eToro. “A weak print could push sentiment further towards risk-off if growth worries start to build, but a solid print may ease some of those concerns.”
Economists predict a 65,000 rise in January payrolls. Such an outcome would be the best in four months. The unemployment rate is seen holding at 4.4%. There will be an annual revision to the jobs count — which is expected to reveal a markdown in the year through March 2025.
See also: Foreigners buy most Thai stocks in four years after election
On Tuesday, the S&P 500 slipped 0.3% amid weakness in several tech shares, though the gauge remained near the record reached last month. In other corners of the market, the dollar edged lower, while bitcoin continued to trade below US$69,000 ($87,230).
Meanwhile, it’s shaping up to be another blockbuster year for Asian markets, which are outpacing peers in the US and Europe. That’s drawing global investors as extreme swings rattle assets from tech stocks to metals.
Most equity benchmarks in the region have risen in 2026, currencies have shown resilience against external pressures, and demand for credit has pushed spreads to near record lows.
See also: Stocks roar back as Dow Average hits 50,000 mark
While it’s still early days, and Asia hasn’t been immune to the global volatility, the region has several forces working in its favour.
AI is one such theme, as global investors contend with billions of dollars in spending and the disruptions it’s creating.
On Wall Street, rising fears about AI keep pummelling the shares of companies at risk of being caught on the wrong side of it all, from small software companies to big wealth-management firms.
The latest selloff erupted on Tuesday when a tax-strategy tool rolled out by a little-known start-up, Altruist Corp, sent the shares of Charles Schwab Corp, Raymond James Financial Inc and LPL Financial Holdings Inc down by 7% or more.
Last week’s steep drop in software stocks on concern about competition from AI was likely overdone, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc’s chief executive officer.
“I think the narrative over the last week has been a little bit too broad,” said David Solomon. “There will be winners and losers — plenty of companies will pivot and do just fine.”
Corporate news:
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- An AI tool aimed at creating tax strategies sparked a sell-off in wealth-management stocks on Tuesday as investors fear the business could be at risk from automated advice.
- Alphabet Inc raised almost US$32 billion in debt in less than 24 hours, showing the enormous funding needs of tech giants competing to build out their AI capabilities.
- Paramount Skydance Corp made enhancements to its hostile offer for Warner Bros Discovery Inc, addressing some of the company’s concerns in an effort to thwart a rival deal with Netflix Inc.
- Ford Motor Co expects profit to jump in 2026 after being saddled with a surprise tariff bill at the end of last year.
- Adani Enterprises Ltd said the US has sought information from the company after a media report alleged it imported Iranian oil products into India, raising potential sanctions concerns.
- Commonwealth Bank of Australia shares climbed the most in five years after its first-half profit topped expectations, buoyed by growth in its flagship mortgage business and a push in lending more to companies.
Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
- S&P 500 futures had risen 0.3% as of 10.55am Tokyo time on Wednesday
- Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 rose 1.4%
- Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 0.1%
- The Shanghai Composite was little changed
- Euro Stoxx 50 futures were unchanged
Currencies
- The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed
- The euro was little changed at US$1.1897
- The Japanese yen rose 0.2% to 154.03 per dollar
- The offshore yuan was little changed at 6.9142 per dollar
Cryptocurrencies
- Bitcoin rose 0.6% to US$69,018.91
- Ether rose 0.8% to US$2,023.39
Bonds
- Australia’s 10-year yield declined seven basis points to 4.76%
Commodities
- West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.6% to US$64.37 a barrel
- Spot gold rose 0.5% to US$5,049.70 an ounce
Uploaded by Tham Yek Lee
