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PhillipCapital initiates 'buy' on Geo Energy Resources

The Edge Singapore
The Edge Singapore  • 2 min read
PhillipCapital initiates 'buy' on Geo Energy Resources
Photo: Bence Balla Schottner via Unsplash
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PhillipCapital's Paul Chew has initiated coverage on Geo Energy Resources with a "buy" call and 47 cents price target, on expectations that the coal miner is set to enjoy stronger earnings from higher production levels and a new revenue stream.

Besides its own coal mining business, Geo Energy is building a 92-km road which will be leased to two other nearby miners to move their production to a jetty at the end of this road to be then exported.

Geo Energy has contracted China Communications Construction Company to build the road and jetty in Indonesia for US$150 million.

Under terms of the contract, Geo is paying US$21 million first, with the remainder to be paid progressively over the next 2 years. 

Upon completion, the road will help Geo Energy increase the output of its mine by 25 million metric tonnes in 1HFY2026 and to 50 million metric tonnes in 2028.

Also, Geo Energy will be generating revenue by leasing out 25 million metric tonnes in hauling capacity to other coal miners at a rate of US$10 per metric tonne, potentially exceeding US$200 million per annum eventually, estimates Chew.

See also: ‘Underappreciated’ Starhill Global REIT trading 30% below book, with yields above 7%: RHB

Meanwhile, worldwide demand for coal is seen to be supported by emerging markets such as China, India and other parts of southeast Asia at a CAGR of 2%. 

Chew values Geo Energy using a discounted cash flow method, with a 70% discount on the assets assumed for now as the road is still under construction.

Geo Energy shares closed at 32 cents on April 1, down 3.03%.

 

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