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Geo Energy's 3QFY2025 below expectations but Chew of PhillipCapital maintains 59 cents target price

The Edge Singapore
The Edge Singapore  • 2 min read
Geo Energy's 3QFY2025 below expectations but Chew of PhillipCapital maintains 59 cents target price
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Geo Energy Resources has reported 3QFY2025 earnings that were below expectations but Paul Chew of PhillipCapital, citing major earnings drivers down the road, has maintained his "buy" call and 59 cents target price. In its 3QYF025, the coal miner reported earnings of US$3.2 million, down 55% y-o-y. While volume doubled, selling prices dropped by 18% y-o-y in the quarter.

The fall in selling prices halved cash profit to US$6.56. This was despite the cash cost declining, notes Chew in his Nov 26 note.

The company has declared an interim 0.1-cent dividend.

However, Chew notes that coal prices have recovered "sharply" in the current 4QFY2025 to US$46 per tonne. In addition, the company's construction of a 92-km-long hauling road and jetty is on schedule and will be ready in the middle of this coming year.

"The completion of the hauling road is a major earnings driver for Geo Energy Resources," says Chew.

Not only will it allow the production to be doubled, this road is also going to be leased to other mines for use and thereby generate additional income.

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"We believe there are also opportunities to secure customers for the hauling road and even stake sale before the middle of 2026," says Chew.

For the full year, Chew expects the company to produce a total of 11.2 million tonnes.

He notes that coal prices have started recovering as production limits in China are being enforced.

Geo Energy Resources shares gained 1.15% to trade at 44 cents as at 11.15 am. It is up 51.72% year to date.

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