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OCBC downgrades SGX but raises TP to $14.78

Jovi Ho
Jovi Ho • 2 min read
OCBC downgrades SGX but raises TP to $14.78
SGX shares rose more than 8% over April. Photo: Albert Chua/The Edge Singapore
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OCBC Investment Research has downgraded Singapore Exchange(SGX) to "hold", citing limited upside, but with a higher target price of $14.78 from $14.09 as higher trading activity will "directly benefit" the bourse operator.

In an April 28 note, OCBC's analysts say SGX's share price has "rebounded strongly" since the house upgraded the stock to "buy" on April 10. SGX shares rose more than 8% over April, and some 18.5% from April 10.

OCBC says it had expected that SGX would be a beneficiary of "heavier-than-average trading volume", coupled with a pullback in its share price then given "broad equity market weakness from the tariff situation".

The total value of shares traded on SGX in the 18 trading days ended April 25 was $36.5 billion, which already exceeded the $25.2 billion in traded value over 21 trading days in the entire month of April 2024.

The value of shares traded was "exceptionally high" on April 7 ($4.2 billion) and April 8 ($3.5 billion), after US President Donald Trump's "Liberation Day" tariff announcements.

On an average daily basis, the value of shares traded on SGX came in at $2.03 billion for April until April 25, $1.47 billion for March, $1.47 billion for February and $1.03 billion for January.

See also: Analysts believe MPACT remains undervalued, all keep ‘buy’

Respectively, these figures were 68.8%, 24.7%, 18.4% and 11.9% higher y-o-y to their corresponding months in 2024.

OCBC has increased its FY2025 and FY2026 core earnings per share forecasts both by 2.0%, and lifted its target price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple peg from 23.0 times to 23.6 times.

Shares in SGX closed 22 cents higher, or 1.57% up, at $14.36 on April 30.

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