On Tuesday, SoftBank also announced a four-for-one stock split that will take place Jan 1.
Son’s company now boasts a portfolio that includes some of the world’s most sought-after names in AI: OpenAI and Oracle Corp. Those stakes boosted SoftBank’s paper gains and helped drive a 78% surge in its share price over the three months ending in September — its best such performance since the December quarter of 2005.
The number of bets from which SoftBank is successfully recouping its investment has increased, “so we raise our forecasts,” Citigroup analyst Keiichi Yoneshima wrote in a note ahead of the earnings release. The analyst set his target price for SoftBank’s stock at ¥27,100, linking his calculations with OpenAI’s valuation and assuming a future valuation range of US$500 billion to US$1 trillion for the ChatGPT operator.
See also: Hedge funds revive yen-weakness trades ahead of Japan vote
Son, 68, is aggressively seeking to capitalise on booming investment in AI and chips, even as he scales back other investments. The SoftBank founder’s ambition has fuelled initiatives including the Stargate data center rollout and a planned US$30 billion investment in OpenAI. Son is also courting Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co and others about taking part in a US$1 trillion AI manufacturing hub in Arizona. SoftBank even explored a takeover of US chipmaker Marvell Technology Inc earlier this year.
The challenge will be to balance the financing behind the new investments, including roughly US$20 billion for OpenAI and US$6.5 billion for the planned acquisition of chip designer Ampere Computing LLC. Concerns also persist about the high valuations propping up AI companies and their capital spending, and who will ultimately benefit from the big data centers and other infrastructure under construction.
“The simple trade was to buy SoftBank for cheap exposure to Arm shares and a broader AI and tech mix. That idea has more than delivered — the stock’s more than doubled, far outpacing the modest rise in NAV,” according to a Finimize Research note published on Smartkarma ahead of the earnings release, referring to SoftBank’s net asset value.
See also: Nidec delays release of 3Q results, vows culture reform after crisis
“But now the discount’s mostly closed, so SoftBank isn’t a ‘cheap’ way in anymore. So on that basis, it’s likely a good time to sell and take your profits,” it said.
Uploaded by Magessan Varatharaja
