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UOB Kay Hian maintains ‘buy’ call and $3 TP for Food Empire on Ukraine war resolution and share buybacks

Kwan Wei Kevin Tan
Kwan Wei Kevin Tan • 2 min read
UOB Kay Hian maintains ‘buy’ call and $3 TP for Food Empire on Ukraine war resolution and share buybacks
Food Empire’s executive chairman Tan Wang Cheow. Russia and Ukraine are key markets for the global food and beverage company. Photo: Albert Chua/ The Edge Singapore
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UOB Kay Hian analysts maintain their “buy call” and $3 target price for global food and beverage company Food Empire Holdings (FEH) (SGX:F03) . In their note on Jan 14, analysts John Cheong and Heidi Mo say their assessment is based on a possible resolution to the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and share buybacks done by the company.

Russia and Ukraine are key markets for FEH. The company’s revenue for 9MFY2025 reached a record high US$427 million, with Russia contributing 31% and Ukraine, Kazakhstan and the Commonwealth of Independent States contributing 26%.

“As of Dec 25, tentative progress in the US-led peace discussions has raised hopes of de-escalation,” Cheong and Mo write.

The pair note that the US and Ukraine are looking to finalise a peace deal at the upcoming World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. The forum is set to take place from Jan 19 to 23. Any progress made toward a ceasefire will likely benefit FEH given that it would support demand recovery in both Russia and Ukraine, they add.

In addition, Cheong and Mo point out that FEH’s earnings have seen an uplift thanks to an appreciation in the Russian ruble, which has gained by more than 40% against the US dollar in the past year.

“This was supported by Russia’s strong export surplus, stringent capital controls, and elevated domestic interest rates, alongside a broader weakening of the US dollar,” the analysts write.

See also: Given the positive prospects led by upcoming Amazon orders, RHB reiterates ‘buy’ call on CSE Global

Besides Russia and Ukraine, Cheong and Mo say FEH’s ongoing share buybacks will lend further support to the company’s share price “in the near term.” FEH repurchased a total of 2.68 million shares after resuming its share buybacks in 4Q2025.

“While the company does not have a formal buyback mandate, this move underscores management’s confidence in the company’s long-term prospects and commitment to enhancing shareholder value, while also providing a positive signal to the market,” say Cheong and Mo.

UOB Kay Hian’s target price of $3 is based on a 19x PE for FY2026 earnings, which is at a 1.5SD above the company’s long-term historical mean. The company is currently trading at 17x PE for FY2026 earnings, which Cheong and Mo say is at a “deep 32% discount” to the average 25x its regional peers are trading at.

As at 11.16am, shares in Food Empire are trading 5 cents higher or 1.94% up at $2.63.

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