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OCBC Investment Research downgrades CDL to ‘hold’ after share price rebound

Felicia Tan
Felicia Tan • 3 min read
OCBC Investment Research downgrades CDL to ‘hold’ after share price rebound
The South Beach integrated development. Photo: Samuel Isaac Chua/The Edge Singapore
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The research team at OCBC Investment Research has downgraded City Developments Limited (CDL) to “hold” after CDL’s shares rebounded by some 40.5% as at July 23 from its trough in April. The team has, however, kept its fair value estimate of $6.01, pending CDL’s results release for the 1HFY2025 ended June. CDL will release its results on Aug 13.

In its July 24 report, the team notes that there have been more positive developments including CDL’s divestment of its 50.1% interest in the South Beach mixed-use integrated development to its joint venture (JV) partner, IOI Properties Group. The stake was divested at an agreed property value of $2.75 billion on a 100% basis, or a 3% premium to the property’s valuation of $2.67 billion as at Dec 31, 2024.

As such, the team notes that CDL is likely to receive $834.2 million in proceeds, which will allow the group to reduce its gearing and redeploy capital. The proceeds may also result in a special dividend to shareholders, the team suggests.

The team is also positive on the group’s prospects with an increased interest in projects within Singapore’s core central region (CCR). It notes the two new project launches over the weekend of July 19 to 20, the 301-unit UpperHouse at Orchard Boulevard and the 348-unit The Robertson Opus in Clarke Quay.

“The take-up rates surprised us on the upside, as both projects achieved sell-through rates of 54% and 41%, respectively,” the team writes.

“Such healthy interest augurs well for CDL, which is planning to launch its Zion Road (Parcel A) JV project project (Zyon Grand) in 2H2025,” the team adds. Zyon Grand is a mixed-use integrated development in the rest of central region (RCR) with direct connectivity to Havelock MRT.

See also: JP Morgan upgrades Suntec REIT to 'overweight' on better occupancy, lower interest cost

CDL also has a luxury project, Newport Residences, at Anson Road. While the timeline was delayed till further notice, the team believes the take-up rates for the CCR projects highlighted earlier would “provide some encouragement” to CDL’s management.

In addition, the operating metrics for Singapore’s retail and office sectors - where CDL has properties in - remain resilient.

Based on data from CBRE Research, core CBD Grade A office rents continued to increase, growing by 0.4% q-o-q to $12.10 per sq ft per month in 2Q2025, or 1.3% up year-to-date from end 2024.

See also: What does Singapore at 60 mean for the REIT sector?

Meanwhile, prime retail rents islandwide climbed by 0.7% q-o-q to $27.50 per sq ft per month in 2Q2025, which was bolstered by retailer confidence on recovery in tourism and the office catchment crowd.

Amid the positives, the team believes the uncertain global economic outlook and impact of policy tightening measures rolled out previously could be potential dampeners to investor sentiment.

As at 1.01pm, shares in CDL are trading 10 cents higher or 1.61% up at $6.30.

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