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With new growth path uncertain, focus on SingPost's break-up value, says OCBC's Lim

The Edge Singapore
The Edge Singapore  • 2 min read
With new growth path uncertain, focus on SingPost's break-up value, says OCBC's Lim
SingPost's operations have been scaled down 'significantly'. The majority of its value is now in its properties and non-core assets, which are to be sold off eventually / Photo: The Edge Singapore
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OCBC Investment Research's Ada Lim, following SingPost's latest divestment, has reduced her fair value for this stock, and warns that growth prospects remain unclear for now and that investors are to focus on the company's break-up value instead.

On July 22, SingPost announced the sale of its entire freight forwarding business, comprising Famous Holdings and Rotterdam Harbour, for $177.9 million. The company will book a gain of around $10.5 million and unlock some $104 million in cash to be deployed in a manner to be decided.

Lim says that SingPost is trying to sell a network of 10 post offices in a sale-and-leaseback deal worth some $50 million.

Besides removing Famous Holdings from her valuation of SingPost, she has included the value of the post offices, and she has also lowered her FY2026 EV/Ebitda valuation multiple from 7.7x to 6x. This led to a lowered fair value of 59 cents from 60.5 cents.

Noting that SingPost's share price has dropped significantly after it went ex-dividend on July 30, Lim has changed her call to "buy", but is based mainly on valuation grounds.

She warns that SingPost's operations are now scaled down "significantly" with the recent divestments. The majority of this company's value is now in its properties and non-core assets, which are to be sold off eventually.

See also: DBS raises target price for Singtel to $5.04, citing rising associates' value and renewed sector growth in Singapore

Meanwhile, the company's domestic postal business continues to face a structural decline, while the operating environment for the international business remains subdued.

She also notes that SingPost is now undergoing board renewal and management changes, and there is a lack of clarity over its strategic growth plan at the time of writing.

"We urge investors to exercise caution," says Lim.

SingPost shares changed hands at 50 cents ahead of the lunch break, up 2.04%.

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