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Maybank's Seet downgrades SingPost to 'hold' with asset divestment pause and weaker operational earnings

Felicia Tan
Felicia Tan • 2 min read
Maybank's Seet downgrades SingPost to 'hold' with asset divestment pause and weaker operational earnings
Maybank's Seet has cut his target price for SingPost to 51 cents from 63 cents Photo: The Edge Singapore
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Jarick Seet of Maybank Securities has downgraded his call on Singapore Post from "buy" to "hold", along with a lower target price of 51 cents from 63 cents.

His bullish call previously has been largely premised on the company's asset monetisation moves. However, there is a likely pause in the divestments and weaker operations are not able to justify current valuations.

As a recap, the sale of its key Australia unit has helped yield a 9-cent per share dividend payout to shareholders and a chain of ten post offices is up next, reportedly at $55.5 million.

However, there are a couple more moving parts which suggests that the next key asset indicated as none core, the SingPost Centre, may not be divested soon.

SingPost is still looking for a new CEO and along with that, a clear new strategic direction has to be laid down - a process which Seet figures will take between three to six months.

Meanwhile, as indicated by its 1QFY2026 business update, SingPost's remaining operations, domestic mail, is still in a structural decline, and its international postal business is seeing competition as well.

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"With a big portion of its non-core assets already monetised and management unlikely to sell SingPost Centre until a new strategy is in place, we believe the monetisation phase is likely over," says Seet.

Given this pause, Seet has included a 20% discount in his NAV valuation and has derived a new target price of 51 cents from 63 cents.

In the face of weaker organic operations, he has also cut his FY2026 and FY2027 earnings forecast by 36% and 35%, respectively.

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"SingPost’s local core business continues to endure a structural decline in volumes and margin pressure along with tight competition.

"Even with a potential rise in postal rates, we think it will be difficult for SingPost to generate the earnings needed to justify its valuations.

"With a lack of catalysts in monetisation of non-core assets now that majority has been done, we believe share price performance may be muted," says Seet.

SingPost shares dropped 2% to trade at 49 cents as at 9.43 am, down 9.26% year to date.

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