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DBS stays 'buy' on GuocoLand following privatisation bid of Malaysia-listed subsidiary

The Edge Singapore
The Edge Singapore  • 2 min read
DBS stays 'buy' on GuocoLand following privatisation bid of Malaysia-listed subsidiary
DBS figures that this deal will be accretive for GuocoLand at around 0.5x P/B, given how itself is trading at 0.7x P/B
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GuocoLand's privatisation bid of its KL-listed subsidiary GuocoLand (Malaysia) may raise questions over the rationale, given that this move is "inconsistent" with its earlier divestment of properties in Malaysia.

However, DBS Group Research suggests that this latest development is part of a longer-term plan that will give GuocoLand more room to spin off a Singapore-focused REIT without being "excessively hollowed out".

Over the last couple of years, GuocoLand Malaysia has sold assets such as Eco-World International and the Thistle Johor Bahru hotel. However, it is still holding to a "significant" landbank in Malaysia that will come in useful to line its development pipeline.

"We hope that the group is taking steps to value unlock for all shareholders and we remain positive on the stock," says DBS, noting that GuocoLand remains supported by its twin engines of growth and positioning as a quality EQDP-beneficiary in the near-term.

On Feb 3, GuocoLand, via its GLL (Malaysia), has tabled an offer to privatise GuocoLand (Malaysia) Berhad via a selective capital reduction and repayment exercise.

Under this offer, the remaining 32% of the shareholders will receive RM1.10 per share, which is a 17.65% premium to GLM’s last traded price and a 47.73% premium to its 6-month volume-weighted average price.

See also: RHB upgrades KORE to ‘buy’ at raised TP of 30 US cents on ‘surprise’ 2HFY2025 dividend resumption

DBS figures that this deal will be accretive for GuocoLand at around 0.5x P/B, given how itself is trading at 0.7x P/B.

In addition, GuocoLand (Malaysia) holds around RM197 million of cash, implying a funding shortfall of only RM 72 million, or $23 million, which in DBS's view, is "immaterial".

DBS has maintained its "buy" call and $3.30 target price, pegged to a 35% discount to its RNAV estimate.

GuocoLand shares last traded at $2.68.

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