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DBS sees potential fair value of $1.80 for MetaOptics; ‘path to breakeven becoming visible’

Douglas Toh
Douglas Toh • 5 min read
DBS sees potential fair value of $1.80 for MetaOptics; ‘path to breakeven becoming visible’
Ling believes MetaOptics has the “potential for multi-fold revenue growth” over the medium-to long term. Photo: The Edge Singapore/ Albert Chua
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“From breakthrough to scalable growth,” writes DBS Group Research analyst Ling Lee Keng on the recently-listed MetaOptics. In her Feb 5 un-rated report, Ling has a potential fair value of $1.80 on the semiconductor optics company,

MetaOptics is a leading player in semiconductor-style, wafer-level manufacturing of ultra-thin, flat optical lenses called metalens, which enables the mass production of ultra-thin, high precision optical components.

“This differentiates it from traditional glass-lens makers and positions the company as an early leader capable of supplying high-volume consumer electronics and automotive applications,” writes Ling.

The company addresses a “critical industry bottleneck” with its ability to leverage semiconductor-style, wafer-level manufacturing, leading to the consistent, high-volume production of up to 30 million lenses per year, which positions the company for “mass-market” adoption.

Presently, as a sub-five-year start-up, MetaOptics remains loss-making.

It recorded $79,440 in sales in the FY2024 and net loss reached $2.34 million, widening from $1.23 million in losses recorded in the preceding FY2023. In the most recent 3MFY2025, it reported a revenue of $52,648 while reporting a net loss of $706,391.

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Despite this, Ling sees with development agreements secured with leading consumer electronics players and active sampling of metalens modules underway, MetaOptics is “well positioned” to scale production and accelerate commercial adoption of its technology.

She adds: “Furthermore, collaborations with NVIDIA and Qualcomm also help to accelerate MetaOptics’ integration into the mainstream product supply chain. We expect MetaOptics to reach breakeven in FY2027–FY2028.”

MetaOptics listed on the Singapore Exchange on September 9, 2025, where it raised capital via a placement of 30 million shares at 20 cents each. Just two months after, the company completed a strategic share placement in November 2025, issuing 6.7 million new shares at 72.55 cents per share to raise $4.85 million.

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The proceeds went towards strengthening the company’s capital base and working capital while supporting the scale-up of metalens production amid rising global demand.

On this, Ling writes: “The placement drew participation from both new and existing shareholders, underscoring growing investor confidence.”

The analyst notes that the global metalens market is at an “early but rapidly accelerating” stage, with a market size of US$30.2 million ($38.3 million) in 2024. This, Ling adds, is projected to reach US$287m by 2028, implying a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 75.6%.

“Growth is underpinned by rising demand for miniaturised, high-performance optical systems across consumer electronics, IoT, automotive, and industrial sensing, where conventional multielement lenses are increasingly constrained by size and performance limitations,” writes Ling.

Another driver in metalens is the global camera modules market, where according to a study by global growth insights, was valued at about US$77.6 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to over US$420 billion by 2034, implying a robust an about 18.4 % CAGR, driven by demand in smartphones, automotive systems, augmented reality (AR)/ virtual reality (VR) devices, and internet of things (IoT) imaging applications.

“On the AR/VR front, research firm IDC forecasts AR/VR headset shipments could rise from an estimated 6.7 million units in 2024 to 22.9 million by 2028, driven by more affordable designs and artificial intelligence (AI) integration in smart glasses and headsets,” writes Ling.

Global smartphone camera module shipments meanwhile exceeded 2.5 billion units in 2024, driven by multi-lens configurations and higher imaging requirements in consumer phones.

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Additionally, the smart glasses industry “alone” recorded 110 % y-o-y shipment growth in the first half of 2025, to which the analyst notes highlights an “accelerating interest” in wearable optics.

Beyond this, Ling sees that MetaOptics has secured development agreements with leading consumer electronics players and is actively sampling metalens modules, which signals “early industry validation”.

She writes: “Backed by the Agency for Science, Technology and Research (A*STAR) as a minority equity investor, providing capital and access to research and production facilities, the company is well-positioned to scale production and accelerate commercial adoption of its metalens technology.”

With this, Ling believes MetaOptics has the “potential for multi-fold revenue growth” over the medium-to long term as development agreements with leading consumer electronics players convert into commercial production, likely from 2028 onwards.

Assuming a long-term revenue target of above $100 million, and applying an around two times price-to-sales ratio (P/S) multiple, in line with the average forward P/S of of around two times for the “closest comparable universe” within the smartphone and consumer electronics segment, Ling views her fair value of $1.80 as “reasonable”.

In the FY2025, she expects MetaOptics to post a surge in revenue to $715,000, primarily driven by robust equipment sales. Growth momentum she notes is projected to accelerate further in the FY2026, with revenue to double y-o-y.

“This reflects the company’s significant growth optionality and early leadership in scalable metalens manufacturing. We believe this valuation appropriately balances execution and profitability risks against the company’s strong growth outlook, improving revenue visibility, and long-term operating leverage as scale benefits begin to materialise,” surmises Ling.

One key risk noted by her is that MetaOptics is “highly contingent” on securing revenue-generating contracts from on-going engagements with potential customers.

As at 4.56 pm, shares in MetaOptics are trading three cents up at $1.13.

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