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US factory malaise continues as key gauge drops to one-year low

Reade Pickert / Bloomberg
Reade Pickert / Bloomberg • 2 min read
US factory malaise continues as key gauge drops to one-year low
The Institute for Supply Management's manufacturing index edged down to 47.9 from 48.2, according to data released Monday.
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(Jan 5): US manufacturing activity shrank in December by the most since 2024, capping a rough year for American factories.

The Institute for Supply Management's manufacturing index edged down to 47.9 from 48.2, according to data released Monday. The measure has been below 50, which indicates contraction, for 10 straight months.

The decline in the measure reflected producers drawing down their raw materials inventories at the fastest rate since October 2024. That indicates many firms are relying on existing stockpiles to satisfy tepid demand.

Plus, materials costs remain elevated. The ISM prices-paid index, which held at 58.5 last month, is six points higher than it was at the end of 2024.

New orders contracted for a fourth month and export bookings remained weak, based on the ISM data. Headcount shrank for an eleventh straight month, albeit at a slower pace, amid modest production growth.

One bright spot in the report was customer inventories shrank at the fastest pace since October 2022, suggesting factory orders and production could firm in coming months.

See also: US core CPI rises as expected in January on services costs

Still, tariffs and the overall economic uncertainty that President Donald Trump's shifting trade policy caused during his first year in office have proved challenging for many companies as they weighed expansion plans.

But looking ahead, abating tariff uncertainty and the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act are anticipated to offer a tailwind to capital expenditures this year.

The ISM's gauge of imports shrank to a seven-month low, while supplier delivery times slowed and order backlogs continued to shrink.

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