(July 7): Analyst confidence in Singapore Exchange Ltd. is gradually being restored after the bourse operator lost all of its buy recommendations over a month ago.
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. and RHB Securities Singapore Pte. have lifted the stock to buy in the past week. CGS-CIMB Securities International Pte. and Macquarie Group Ltd. also recently upgraded the shares, to the equivalent of a hold rating. The brokers cited reasons including the exchange’s acquisition of a foreign exchange trading platform and strong trading volumes amid volatility related to the Covid-19 pandemic.
Ratings for the bourse operator had suffered a blow after MSCI Inc. moved its index-licensing franchise for most derivative products from Singapore to Hong Kong in late May. Multiple downgrades left the stock with zero buys for the first time on record, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The stock is down 17% since the announcement while the benchmark Straits Times Index has climbed over 5%.
See: SGX reduces licence agreement with MSCI from February 2021, SGX sticks to multi-asset push as MSCI ditches Singapore to cast its lot with Hong Kong, and Analysts turn bearish on SGX after reduction in MSCI licence agreement
Singapore Exchange has moved quickly on new initiatives since the MSCI announcement. Last month it introduced futures contracts on individual stocks listed in Singapore, delivering on plans announced earlier in the year. The bourse also announced it will acquire the remaining 80% stake in BidFX for a cash consideration of $128 million.
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The latter deal “provides an entry point into the global OTC FX market and brings together the growing and mutually reinforcing pools of liquidity in listed and OTC markets,” Jefferies analyst Krishna Guha wrote in a note in June. The acquisition “enhances the exchange’s multi-asset capabilities” and will boost per-share profits in the fiscal year ending June 2021, he added.
The BidFX deal coupled with other recent and future moves could see the bourse’s contribution from fixed income, currency and commodities plus data, connectivity and indexes grow to one-third of total revenue over the next three to four years, according to a note by CGS-CIMB analyst Ngoh Yi Sin. The two segments combined accounted for just over a quarter of the company’s top line in the March-ended quarter, with equities contributing the rest.
See also: SGX to fully acquire cloud-based forex trading platform BidFX for $178.3 mil, and BidFX acquisition a medium-term positive for SGX: analysts
Analysts also say Singapore Exchange will benefit from continued volatility in markets as economies reopen amid concerns over a second wave of virus infections. RHB raised its estimate for average daily trading value of securities 15% to S$1.32 billion ($948 million) for the 2021 fiscal year.
