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China’s ‘national team’ cut ETF stakes below 20% disclosure mark

Bloomberg
Bloomberg • 3 min read
China’s ‘national team’ cut ETF stakes below 20% disclosure mark
The disclosures offer the clearest confirmation yet that the national team cut a substantial portion of its ETF holdings in January, as turnover hit a record and the rally turned increasingly speculative, particularly in parts of the technology sector
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(April 22): China’s “national team” has stepped back from its dominant role in the country’s biggest stock ETFs, pointing to efforts to rein in an overheated rally earlier this year.

Central Huijin Investment Ltd — a unit of China’s sovereign wealth fund that leads a group of state-backed investors used to stabilise markets — cut its ownership in several key exchange‑traded funds to below the 20% disclosure threshold, according to first‑quarter filings. Its current stake is unclear.

The disclosures offer the clearest confirmation yet that the national team cut a substantial portion of its ETF holdings in January, as turnover hit a record and the rally turned increasingly speculative, particularly in parts of the technology sector. They also indicate Beijing is no longer just propping up the market but is willing to drain speculative excess — a break from past rescue playbooks.

“The fact that they have relinquished this dominant position in ETFs implies that they have much more potential to create upside in the market going forward, sitting on cash while their power to create downside is now diminished,” said Cheng Hao, fund manager at Zhejiang Feiluo Assets Management Co Ltd.

Central Huijin and its asset management arm may have reduced their holdings by at least half in flagship products such as the 200 billion yuan Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF. The two entities held 42.6% and 40% respectively as of the end of last year.

See also: China property tipping point will drive up stocks, JPMorgan says

Even smaller funds such as the HuaAn SSE 180 ETF, previously 92% owned by the national team, reported no single shareholder above the 20% threshold, indicating the stakes were cut across the board.

Quarterly ETF filings only require disclosure of investors with holdings of 20% or more — a threshold Central Huijin had consistently met. While ownership levels can fluctuate as others trade, the sharp decline in total ETF units outstanding during the period suggests the market’s dominant buyer until recently played a decisive role in the outflows.

Some of the sales might have locked in gains of around 50%, based on the rise of the CSI 300 Index from early 2024 lows — when the national team began aggressively buying ETFs to stem a market meltdown — through January this year, when the selling likely took place. The exact returns would depend on the specific ETFs and the timing of those purchases.

See also: JPMorgan aims for China approval of active ETF launch this year

The scale of the stake reductions may become clearer with first-half filings due in the third quarter, when the identities and holdings of the top 10 investors are revealed.

Morgan Stanley estimates the national team sold about US$80 billion of positions in January and February. Analysts including Laura Wang expect the money to be used for investing in longer-term, more “strategic and thematic” ETFs.

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