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DBS restarted at 'buy' by KGI on rising interest rates, private banking growth

PC Lee
PC Lee • 2 min read
DBS restarted at 'buy' by KGI on rising interest rates, private banking growth
SINGAPORE (Nov 2): KGI Securities has restarted coverage on DBS Group Holdings with a “buy” given Singapore’s largest bank is well-positioned to benefit from rising interest rates as well as the city-state’s continued growth as a private banking h
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SINGAPORE (Nov 2): KGI Securities has restarted coverage on DBS Group Holdings with a “buy” given Singapore’s largest bank is well-positioned to benefit from rising interest rates as well as the city-state’s continued growth as a private banking hub.

In a Friday report, KGI analyst Marc Tan says DBS has the highest CASA (current and saving accounts) composition among its peers which means funding cost for DBS will likely remain low and as the rate hike cycle continues, he expects SIBOR and SOR to trend upwards, driving interest income growth.

For its private banking business, DBS’s acquisition of ANZ and Societe Generale has greatly enhanced its footprints in the region. Among the largest private banks in Asia Pacific, DBS has been the only Singapore bank to break into the top six since 2014.

“In our view, we believe the wealth management sector will continue to benefit from the growth of the private banking sector in Asia and we forecast total income from wealth management to grow at about 10% per annum from 2018-2020,” says Tan.

Meantime, uncertainty about asset quality outlook has subsided after the bank accelerated recognition of non-performing assets in 2017. While mortgage growth might be muted after the latest Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD) and Loan-to-Value (LTV) limits, Tan believes the loan book should be well cushioned due to existing drawdowns. For FY18, KGI expects NPL ratios to remain at 1.7%.

Year to date, shares in DBS are down 8% to $24.22 or 9.4 times FY19F earnings.

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