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Wilmar kept at 'add' on valuations, strong crushing margins and upcoming listing of China unit

PC Lee
PC Lee • 2 min read
Wilmar kept at 'add' on valuations, strong crushing margins and upcoming listing of China unit
SINGAPORE (Feb 27): CIMB is keeping Wilmar International at "add" with an unchanged target price of $4.10 on attractive valuations, strong crushing margins so far in FY18 and with the anticipated listing of its China unit.
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SINGAPORE (Feb 27): CIMB is keeping Wilmar International at "add" with an unchanged target price of $4.10 on attractive valuations, strong crushing margins so far in FY18 and with the anticipated listing of its China unit.

In a Monday report, analyst Ivy Ng Lee Fang says the group is expected to deliver good 1Q18 numbers. This given strong crushing margins in China so far in 2018, consumer products are expected to benefit from seasonal demand during the Chinese Spring Festival in mid-Feb, and improving sugar contribution due to the absence of impairment of US$30.6 million ($40.3 million) in 4Q17 and the sale of carried-over sugar inventories from its mills in Australia from the same quarter.

In addition, Wilmar remains on track to list its China operations in Shanghai in 2019 given the group has competed an internal restructuring for the listing, says Ng. China operations made up around 65% of FY17 earnings and Wilmar is likely to offer 10% new shares during the IPO, with P/E of not more than 23 times.

"Given our estimate for the business’s FY17 net profit of US$680 million, Wilmar China could be worth US$15.7 billion, based on 23 times P/E, 5% higher than its current market cap of US$15 billion," says Ng.

Wilmar says it does not anticipate any major stumbling block to the listing. The group has also submitted a preliminary expression of interest to acquire the assets of Indian vegetable oil refiner Ruchi Soya.

To recap, contribution by associates soared to a record US$228 million in FY17 as the group started to reap the fruit of its investments in these joint ventures.

Stripping out the one-off deferred tax gain in 4Q16, Wilmar's core net profit grew 2.1% y-o-y to US$374 million. The sugar division would have performed better in 4Q if not for the timing of the new Australian sugar marketing programme, which will result in a certain portion of sugar produced by the mill being sold in 1H18. This led to a 60%/42% y-o-y drop in sugar sales volumes from its mill in 4Q17/FY17.

Its final dividend of 7 cents per share translates into a near-term dividend yield of 2.2%.

As at 11.39am, shares in Wilmar are trading 1 cent lower at $3.21 or 14.4 times FY18 core earnings.

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