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Singtel dragged down by Airtel but lower exposure to domestic market makes its RHB’s pick

PC Lee
PC Lee • 2 min read
Singtel dragged down by Airtel but lower exposure to domestic market makes its RHB’s pick
SINGAPORE (Aug 11): RHB says Singtel’s stock has outperformed its peers by 10-12% year-to-date, reflecting its regional exposure and lower susceptibility to deepening domestic competition, and continues to be its preferred Singapore’s telco pick.
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SINGAPORE (Aug 11): RHB says Singtel’s stock has outperformed its peers by 10-12% year-to-date, reflecting its regional exposure and lower susceptibility to deepening domestic competition, and continues to be its preferred Singapore’s telco pick.

“We make no change to our forecasts, ‘neutral’ recommendation and SOP target price of $3.90. Management has reinstated the previous guidance with a one-time gain of $2 billion to be booked in 2Q18 from the recent sell-down in NetLink Trust pursuant to its recent IPO,” says RHB.

In 1Q18, core earnings fell 3.5% y-o-y from the combination of seasonal factors and weaker associate contributions – specifically India’s Airtel – alongside the 3% sequential weakness in the AUD/SGD.


See: Singtel reports 5.6% lower 1Q earnings of $891.6 mil on lower contributions from associates and exceptional charges

In fact, associate contributions fell for the second consecutive quarter at 2.6% y-o-y. Stripping out India, core earnings would have grown 3% y-o-y and were stable on constant currency terms. Operating revenue grew a strong 8.3% y-o-y, supported by the maiden contribution from Turn Inc – its latest adjacent acquisition, while EBITDA was up 2.7% y-o-y from ongoing cost management initiatives.

Mobile communications revenue narrowed 1% q-o-q on seasonality, with the continuing weak usage and roaming revenues leading the 3.6% y-o-y erosion. This was notwithstanding the stronger mobile data growth.

Group Digital Life revenue more than doubled y-o-y to $273 million with the acquisition of Turn Inc, while Group Digital Life EBITDA losses narrowed q-o-q to $24 million as Amobee – including Turn – achieved EBITDA breakeven.

As at 12.30pm, shares in Singtel are up 1 cent at $3.77.

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