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Maybank's Krishna Guha raises target price for Sembcorp to $6

The Edge Singapore
The Edge Singapore • 2 min read
Maybank's Krishna Guha raises target price for Sembcorp to $6
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Krishna Guha of Maybank Securities has raised his target price for Sembcorp Industries from $5.60 to $6 after news that the utilities company has been chosen by the Emirates Water and Electricity Company as one of the minority partners of a 2.6GW independent power producer project.

Leading regional utilities firm TAQA will own a 60% stake in the development and a 40% stake in the operations and maintenance (O&M) company. Sembcorp, meanwhile, will have a 20% stake in the development and a 30% stake in O&M company.

Under terms of a 21-year-long power purchase agreement, EWEC will be the sole procurer on a take-or-pay basis for the generated electricity and includes risk mitigation provisions arising out of the latest regional developments.

The plant is expected to begin commercial operations in 2029.

This project will deliver sustainability and cost benefits, being one of the region’s lowest capital expenditure rates per kilowatt-hour and the lowest levelized cost of electricity.

"The project underscores Sembcorp’s longstanding partnerships in the region. TAQA and EWEC are SCI’s partner and customer, respectively, in the Fujairah IWPP project," says Guha, referring to an existing water and power plant in UAE.

See also: RHB upgrades Apac Realty to ‘buy’ on ‘steady increase in residential supply’

Guha, in his June 8 note, has factored in recent operational trends in renewables and gas and related services which has led to a 5-8% cut in his core PATMI estimates.

However, he has a new target price of $6 after rolling forward his SOTP model.

For now, Guha has lowered his core FY2026 patmi estimates for Sembcorp by 8.5% and FY2027's by 5.1% respectively, to take into account lower contribution from renewables and integrated urban solutions as well as lower contracting spreads for Senoko, one of Sembcorp's key power generating assets in Singapore.

See also: ‘Sustainable 9% dividend yield backed by UK government’: Maybank initiates coverage on Elite UK REIT at ‘buy’

This counter remains a "hold" for him on continued earnings consolidation, potential M&A integration risk and higher gearing.

As at 3.19 pm, Sembcorp Industries shares dropped 1.47% to trade at $6.04.

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