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JP Morgan estimates non-consensus annual dividend of 18 cents for CLI

The Edge Singapore
The Edge Singapore  • 2 min read
JP Morgan estimates non-consensus annual dividend of 18 cents for CLI
Capital Tower and CapitaSky Photo credit CapitaLand Investment
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JP Morgan analyst Mervin Song has a non-consensus annual dividend forecast for CapitaLand Investment (CLI) of “18 cents a year over the next three years which implies a 6.7% yield with additional share price support via a $350 million p.a. share buyback".

How realistic is this? In FY2024, CLI announced operating Patmi of $510 million, down 10% y-o-y and Patmi of $479 million. Its dividend of 12 cents in FY2024 represented a total payout of $598 million, and a dividend-in-specie of 0.031 CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust unit equivalent to 6 cents per share.

CLI’s financial statement said the “Group’s policy is to build a strong capital base so as to maintain investor, creditor and market confidence and to sustain future development of the business. The Group monitors its capital using a net debt-to-equity ratio.

"The Group seeks to strike a balance between the higher returns that might be possible with higher level of borrowings and the liquidity and security afforded by a sound capital position. 

"In addition, the Company has a share purchase mandate as approved by its shareholders which allows the Company greater flexibility over its share capital structure with a view to improving its return on equity.”

CLI’s net debt to equity in FY2024 fell to 0.39x as at end-2024 compared to 0.56x as at end-2023.

See also: Jefferies reiterate DBS as their preferred bank given lowest NIM margin sensitivity, TP $52

During a results briefing on Feb 27, management reiterated its target of $200 billion in funds under management by 2028, and its operating earnings to more than $1 billion by 2028-2030, with 60% to 70% coming from its four fee income-related businesses (FRB) of fees from listed REITs, private funds, commercial management and lodging management.

“We see CLI as a compelling opportunity heading into ex-dividend in May with patient investors being paid to wait while it pursues its acquisition to scale up its private funds business,” Song says in his report.

 

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