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Aletheia Capital starts Info-Tech at ‘buy’, expecting $18 mil ebitda in FY2025

Jovi Ho
Jovi Ho • 2 min read
Aletheia Capital starts Info-Tech at ‘buy’, expecting $18 mil ebitda in FY2025
Info-Tech, which listed on the Singapore Exchange in July, is poised to capture Southeast Asia’s SME digitalisation wave, writes Nirgunan Tiruchelvam. Photo: Info-Tech Systems
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Nirgunan Tiruchelvam of Aletheia Capital has initiated coverage on newly listed payroll software software provider Info-Tech Systems, praising its “resilient” software-as-a-service (SaaS) framework targeted at small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs).

“It supports high client retention and strong operating efficiency. Government support programmes, such as Singapore’s PSG (Productivity Solutions Grant) improve onboarding economics by lowering customer acquisition costs. With recognised certifications (ISO and MTCS) and a unique product range, Info-Tech is well-positioned to expand into multiple markets in Asean,” writes Tiruchelvam in an Aug 29 note.

Tiruchelvam says he expects the company’s cloud-based platform’s annual recurring revenue to grow at 25% per year at a 6.2% CAGR over FY2025 to FY2028. The analyst thinks the Mainboard-listed company is “likely” to generate $18 million in ebitda in FY2025 ending Dec 31.

Info-Tech reported earnings of $5.16 million for 1HFY2025, down 21% y-o-y.

Info-Tech, which listed on the Singapore Exchange in July, has built-in compliance features that drive strong retention and operating leverage, says Tiruchelvam. This means it is poised to capture Southeast Asia’s SME digitalisation wave, he adds. “There is a US$17.3 billion addressable market in HR and finance digitisation. Info-Tech is on the cusp of sustained earnings growth.”

Already, Info-Tech is scaling its geographic footprint across Malaysia, Hong Kong and India to capture SME-driven growth in digital transformation.

See also: Newly-listed Info-Tech reports lower earnings of $5.16 mil for 1HFY2025 due to one-off expenses

In Malaysia, onboarding is propelled by SME Digitalisation Grants. In Hong Kong, RegTech partnerships address cross-border compliance. In India, Info-Tech is engaging state-level fintech alliances to penetrate the fragmented SME landscape.

With a “buy” call on Info-Tech, Tiruchelvam values the company on a discounted cash flow model, leading to his target price of $1.17.

“We forecast the company to generate an ebitda margin of over 30% in FY2025 to FY2028. In FY2025, Info-Tech is projected to have a net cash position of $41 million on the back of its recent IPO. These proceeds would provide the fulcrum for its regional expansion,” he adds. “Info-Tech appears undervalued according to SaaS metrics like the Rule of 40, as well as comparative metrics.”

As at 9.55am, shares in Info-Tech are trading flat at 86 cents.

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