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Accelerating Asean’s next decade of growth

Gilbert Ng
Gilbert Ng • 7 min read
Accelerating Asean’s next decade of growth
Asean has demonstrated its ability to absorb capital at scale, but the challenge now is deploying it efficiently and sustainably (Credit: Bloomberg)
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Asean integration has never been short on ambition. Over the past two decades, progress has been made through trade agreements, regulatory alignment and cross-border initiatives that have steadily lowered barriers to commerce and investment and boosted competitiveness.

Initiatives such as the Asean Power Grid, which now has eight out of 18 planned interconnection projects in operation, contribute to the regional electricity transmission capacity of 2.8 gigawatts.

What is different today is not direction, but pace. As the ambition of the regional power grid demonstrates, Asean is now moving faster, and more visibly, from integration by policy to integration by projects.

The backdrop to this acceleration has been Asean’s resilience in the face of external headwinds. At first glance, 2025 appeared paradoxical. Tariffs, geopolitical tension and slowing growth in developed markets dominated headlines. Yet Asean’s trade performance remained strong. According to International Monetary Fund data, the region’s share of global exports remained resilient at 7.4% in October 2025, defying the tariffs imposed by the United States.

More recently, the conflict in the Middle East has highlighted the need for diversification. Energy supply disruption and volatile oil prices have accelerated the case for clean energy transition and adoption of renewable energy sources to insulate against further potential shocks. More broadly, the need to diversify trade networks, including deepening trade ties with China, and to open new markets, has never been clearer.

As the familiar routes that defined the world trade map are being redrawn, Asean has emerged among the biggest winners: cumulative trade is forecast to grow US$1.2 trillion ($1.5 trillion) over the next decade as the region emerges as a key destination for supply chain diversification.

See also: UOB reiterates Asean growth ambition in decade ahead

Trade strength must now be converted into investment, particularly in digital and energy-related assets. Asean has entered a high-growth, foundational phase of AI infrastructure development. Data centres, transmission networks, cooling systems and renewable power capacity are being built to meet rising demand for compute closer to end markets.

At the centre of this shift sits Singapore, not simply as a beneficiary of Asean growth, but as a hub known for its regulatory stability, deep talent pool and strong connections to international trade and investment corridors. For Asean nations, Singapore is where projects are structured, risks priced and capital recycled so that investment can continue at scale.

International banks, including HSBC, play a critical role. No single balance sheet can warehouse infrastructure risk indefinitely. The focus has shifted from filling financing gaps to recycling capital through syndication, bond markets and private credit, allowing early-stage projects to mature into long-term assets and freeing capacity for the next wave of investment.

See also: UOB cuts CEO Wee’s pay package by about 20% after profit slump

Digital economy driving growth

Beyond physical infrastructure, Asean’s digital economy is accelerating alongside its integration agenda. With nearly 700 million people and a young, mobile-first population, Southeast Asia has become a global testbed for digital business models. According to HSBC’s Digital Frontiers research, digital entrepreneurism in the region is already well consolidated. E-commerce platforms such as Shopee, Lazada, TikTok Shop and Tokopedia collectively support an estimated 35 million sellers and account for more than 70% of online retail gross merchandise value across Asean.

The digital economy is also broadening beyond traditional e-commerce. The same research estimates the region’s creator economy at around $5 billion today, projected to grow to $15 billion by 2030. These shifts underline how digital platforms are reshaping labour markets, entrepreneurship and consumption in parallel.

One example of a digital platform having a transformative impact on its sector is Atome, which is now one of Southeast Asia’s leading digital financial services platforms.

Atome has today become the region’s largest embedded financing platform and provider of digital financial services that include insurance, cards and lending, as well as Kredit Pintar, one of Indonesia’s largest digital lending platforms. HSBC has supported Atome’s Asean growth from Singapore since 2022, initially with a debt facility and more recently leading a US$345 million syndicated loan facility to help scale Atome Financial’s profitable regional credit portfolio and accelerate the launch of new products.

More broadly, Singapore has emerged as a natural base for funding innovation. Many Asean start-ups now use the city as their fundraising and treasury hub, while continuing to operate and scale across their home markets, reinforcing Singapore’s role as both a financial and innovation centre.

As these businesses scale, their financing needs also evolve. Venture funding alone is no longer sufficient. Companies increasingly require banking partners that can support cross-border expansion, manage risk and provide access to deeper pools of capital. This is where HSBC Innovation Banking has become increasingly relevant. Since its launch in 2023, the platform has expanded rapidly across Singapore and other major innovation markets, supporting nearly 5,000 innovation-led companies.

To stay ahead of Singapore and the region’s corporate and economic trends, click here for Latest Section

Asean’s capital hub

As Asean integration accelerates, competition for capital is intensifying. Global companies are reassessing supply chains, investment risk and regional footprints in a world where long-standing assumptions about trade and geopolitics no longer hold.

Singapore’s advantage is in part the decades of investment in infrastructure, regulation and institutions that have created an ecosystem that global investors recognise and trust. When firms decide they need an Asian base, or a second hub to diversify risk, Singapore remains one of the first places they look, not because it promises the highest short-term returns, but because it reliably delivers on what it commits to.

Recent reactions to Singapore’s Budget underline this role. While most measures were incremental rather than dramatic, markets read them as another signal of policy continuity, fiscal discipline and long-term support for investment. In a global environment marked by volatility and uncertainty, consistency matters. It reinforces Singapore’s position as Asean’s financial anchor and as the place where regional capital flows are structured, syndicated and scaled.

That reliability is increasingly important as projects and funding needs grow in scale and complexity. Capital today is flowing into assets that sit at the intersection of technology, energy and data. These investments demand stable regulation, deep capital markets and the ability to coordinate across borders. Singapore’s role is less about competing with its neighbours, and more about enabling growth across the region by acting as the point where capital, expertise and governance converge.

From scale to quality

Looking ahead, Asean has demonstrated its ability to absorb capital at scale. The challenge now is to deploy it efficiently and sustainably.

Energy availability, policy clarity and talent development are emerging as binding constraints. Power grids must expand to support digital infrastructure. Data governance must keep pace with cross-border flows. Millions of workers will need new skills if AI adoption is to move beyond large enterprises and into the broader economy.

These constraints are also investable opportunities. Energy transition projects, digital infrastructure and skills development will shape capital flows over the next decade. Special economic zones and cross-border corridors, particularly those linked to Singapore’s financial and data infrastructure, are already showing how policy coordination can translate into bankable projects.

Asean integration has been progressing steadily for years. What we are seeing now is acceleration. Capital is moving faster, projects are scaling more quickly, and the link between policy and investment is becoming clearer.

Policy laid the foundations. Projects are now delivering the results.

Gilbert Ng is Head of Banking, Corporate and Institutional Banking at HSBC Singapore.

Asean will be a key theme at the HSBC Global Investment Summit in Hong Kong, April 14 to 16. Bringing together global leaders, investors and policymakers, the Summit will explore the forces reshaping the international financial system. For more information, click here

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