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Investing takes intelligence, divesting takes wisdom

Tong Kooi Ong + Asia Analytica
Tong Kooi Ong + Asia Analytica • 3 min read
Investing takes intelligence, divesting takes wisdom
Markets tend to glorify the investor who identifies the one brilliant company — the insights others missed. Photo: Bloomberg
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Over the past few months, we have had readers who asked, “How do you decide when to exit investment in a stock or reduce exposure to the equity market?” It is a far trickier question to answer in any comprehensive manner, unlike why we bought shares of Company A or B or why we do not like Company C or D. Below is our attempt to provide a broad answer — because the reasons and the circumstances are always different.

With thousands of options, it takes some intelligence to find the right company, analyse its financials and understand its business model. Maybe even see what others fail to see. This matters, but it’s only half the craft.

Buying is an act of analysis. Selling is an act of judgement. Intelligence helps you identify opportunities to buy into. Wisdom helps recognise change to get out. And until you sell, you only have paper gains (although you may have accounting profits — you cannot eat accounting profits, whatever accountants tell you).

A good company can still be a bad investment, not because the business failed but because expectations exceeded reality, the cycle turned, incentives shifted or risks simply compounded.

The hardest question in investing is not “What should I buy?” but “When is this no longer worth holding?”

Selling demands discipline: resisting greed, detaching from narratives you bought into and accepting that the future may not unfold as expected in the original thesis.

See also: The portfolio that refuses to stand still

Also, the ability to accept that sometimes you can be wrong too on your original analysis and decision. It requires humility — admitting that time, valuation, circumstances, even knowledge, have changed. For this reason, few investors can exit their investments well.

Yet, even the belief that buying requires intelligence may itself be overstated.

Markets tend to glorify the investor who identifies the one brilliant company — the insights others missed. Intelligence becomes the hero of the story. But investing is never about one company.

See also: The false dichotomy: Allowing yourself no option because of fear brings the worse outcome

Even the most rigorous analysis cannot eliminate uncertainty. Businesses face technological disruption, regulatory and management changes, geopolitical shocks and random events. A good analysis can still have bad outcomes.

That is why investing, at its core, is less about identifying the right company and more about constructing the right portfolio. Diversification is often misconstrued as lacking conviction. It is risk management — acknowledging uncertainty. It accepts that some ideas will succeed, others will not. It is about probabilities.

Investing is therefore less about intellectual triumph to prove one’s brilliance through one perfect idea, but building resilience through many imperfect ideas. Those who recognise the limits of their own intelligence will be more likely to be rewarded.

Or as former Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett once remarked, the most important quality for an investor is temperament, not intellect. His success did not come from one or a few perfect ideas, but from decades of patient capital allocation.

But the craft of investing still returns to the same discipline: knowing when to sell.

Because long-term investment success is shaped less by how cleverly one enters positions, and more by how deliberately one exits them. It is often the timing of the sell, not the brilliance of the buy, which separates good investors from great ones.

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