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S’pore, global markets focused on July 9, when US tariff pause ends: CGSI

Jovi Ho
Jovi Ho • 2 min read
S’pore, global markets focused on July 9, when US tariff pause ends: CGSI
In June, institutional investors were net sellers, with outflow from financials, telcos and consumer non-cyclicals. On the other hand, there were inflows into industrials, REITs, developers and tech. Photo: Samuel Isaac Chua/The Edge Singapore
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The MSCI Singapore Free SGD index (SIMSCI) ended June at 409.26 points, up 2.54 points m-o-m, or 0.62%; having set another high in early-June before giving up some gains in the subsequent weeks.

The Singapore and global markets will focus on the US tariff reprieve, which is set to expire on July 9, setting the tone for future direction of global markets, according to CGS International Research’s June 30 note.

Sector outperformers during the month were real estate, services and utilities; while transport, retail and staples underperformed. Among the MSCI Singapore index stocks, the outperformers were Keppel, Singapore Exchange (SGX) and CapitaLand Investment (CLI); while the underperformers were Wilmar, Singapore Airlines (SIA) and Sea.

During the month, institutional investors were net sellers, with outflow from financials, telcos and consumer non-cyclicals. On the other hand, there were inflows into industrials, REITs, developers and tech.

Meanwhile, retail investors were slight net buyers, with inflows into financials, consumer non-cyclicals and telcos; and outflows from industrials, developers and tech.

The MSCI Singapore Index “narrowly reached” CGSI’s one-month short-term target of 417.00 points on June 6, according to a team of CGSI analysts led by Lock Mun Yee.

See also: DBS has median fair value estimate of $2.68 on Food Empire, sees strength in Ikhlas investment and East Europe, Vietnam

“Currently, the MSCI Singapore Index is eyeing a possible limited upside targeting 418.00 points in the one-month period as momentum across the long (MACD) and short term (23-period rate of change) is flattening,” they write.

“Moreover, the mid-term stochastic oscillator is showing overbought signs. That said, any correction should find support at 387.00 to 395.50 points. The key major support remains at 372.13 points, while the long-term target (six-month period) is at 420.00 points,” they add.

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