In line with this, the group had earlier this month announced that it was permitting residents at its UK PBSA’s to terminate their leases early.
As such, the analysts are looking at occupancy at Centurion’s UK facilities plummeting from 93% to 60% in FY20F, before reversing slightly to 78% in FY21F.
And while the group has yet to make available a similar pre-lease termination scheme in Australia, RHB says occupancy there is likely to inch down to 60%, from the current 78%.
Touching on the group’s purpose-built workers’ accommodation (PBWA) operations in Singapore which have been under immense scrutiny, Lee and Seet have brushed aside the possibility of an impact to its financial performance.
So far, two of Centurion’s five dormitories here – Westlite Toh Guan and Westlite Mandai have been gazetted as isolation sites.
“We do not think that there is material impact to its financial performance as rental contracts tend to be for a period of one year,” they say adding that the manpower ministry has an advisory on employers paying dormitory operators on time.
However, the duo have revised their occupancy estimates downwards to 93%, from 96%, as they “expect few businesses to go under”.
Collectively, the hit from the pandemic on the group’s PBSA and PBWA properties has made Lee and Cai shave their FY20F-22F earnings by 25% (FY20), 15% (FY21), and 4% (FY22) respectively.
As at 2.50pm, shares at Centurion Corp were down 0.5 cents or 1.30% to trade at 38 cents.