“While the ‘new normal’ [in the proportion of online sales] may be higher than the historical average of 5-6%, we believe that the pace of recovery within the brick-and-mortar shops will increase at a faster rate compared to online sales which is expected to remain at current levels or even decline,” writes Tan.
Tan expects the F&B and services sector to lead the recovery, and calls attention to August figures. “We reckon that declines could further narrow and turn higher (or even positive) in 4Q20. Our discussions with various landlords have confirmed this trend (for now).”
See: Singapore's retail sales remains in the red in first full month after circuit breaker
Consumers are now more “targeted” in their purchases and tend to spend a shorter time at the malls lingering and window shopping, write Tan, with the exception of couples who are out to spend some time together, based on personal observations.
Car park data showed a slight uptake in vacancies island-wide, writes Tan, led by Marina malls (57%) and Harbourfront (24%) in the past weekend.