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Hussaini Saifee of Maybank Securities initiates coverage on Olam with 'buy' call and $1.60 target price

The Edge Singapore
The Edge Singapore • 2 min read
Hussaini Saifee of Maybank Securities initiates coverage on Olam with 'buy' call and $1.60 target price
'Olam is becoming leaner, simpler and more cash-return focused'
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Hussaini Saifee of Maybank Securities has initiated coverage on Olam International with a "buy" call and $1.60 target price, on the premise that the agri-food company is "one of the most compelling restructuring and management reset stories within the Temasek portfolio."

"Olam is moving from a complex agri conglomerate towards a much cleaner, scaled global ingredients platform, Olam Food Ingredients (ofi), while potentially unlocking more than $5 billion of capital along the way," flags Saifee in his May 4 report.

Around $4 billion in value realisation has been announced: $3.4 billion from sale of Olam Agri, and another $0.7 billion or so from other divestments including its IT services unit Mindsprint.

If fully distributed as a special dividend, Saifee figures that Olam shareholders will enjoy a yield of 18%.

ofi, following the restructuring, should remain Olam's core business with around $1.1 billion in ebit but yet is valued by the market at only 2.0–2.5x EV/EBIT, versus 8–15x for global peers, which looks closer to distressed pricing than a fair value, says Saifee.

"Olam is becoming leaner, simpler and more cash-return focused. Temasek portfolio precedents suggest strategic restructuring can unlock value and drive rerating," says Saifee.

See also: Analysts mostly issue upgrades on DBS after sterling first quarter

Olam shares as at 11.26 am, gained 10.78% to trade at $1.13. It is up 18.95% year to date.

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